It’s a beautiful game.
It’s a little past half-time of the semi-final match between England and Croatia in the 2018 World Cup (currently, England’s leading 1-0). If you’re a cryptocurrency fanatic, you might mosey on over to Augur, a recently-launched prediction market to place a bet on the match. Right now, users have collectively assigned a 63 percent likelihood that England will win the match.
There are also open markets to predict the result after 90 minutes (the end of regulation). Right now, users have assigned a 25 percent likelihood to Croatia winning, a 34 percent likelihood that the match will be at a stalemate, and a 39 percent likelihood that England will win during regulation.
Note: It’s unclear whether “90 minutes” includes stoppage time, an obvious example of the imperfect science of creating prediction markets.
Matthew is a full-time staff writer for ETHNews with a passion for law and technology. In 2016, he graduated from Georgetown University where he studied international economics and music. Matthew enjoys biking and listening to podcasts. He lives in Los Angeles and holds no value in any cryptocurrencies.
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